Thursday, 25 September 2008

Deciding frame woe for 9 out of 10 fancies!

I'm cheating a bit by including this entry as Thursday as its now past the witching hour, such was the longevity of tonights Premier League snooker event at Derby which I'm just back from witnessing, maybe that shot clock ought to be changed to 15 seconds instead of 25!
The Davis-Perry game was the main culprit, finishing a fair bit later than would normally be expected in this format, though the result went my way with Joe emerging a 4-2 winner after the Nugget had taken the first frame quite impressively.
Thereafter however his game went gradually downhill, perhaps tiredness creeping in after playing in Prestatyn at 10am in a Grand Prix qualifier with Tom Ford. Perry was steady rather than spectacular but it was more than enough on the day.
The other match didnt exactly speed along either, Mark Selby showed flashes of why he is now one of the elite players of the game but did miss a few, however Hendry has had little match practice this season and looked very rusty indeed, so was unable to make any real impression on the game. In fact Selby's 5-1 win was rubber stamped by a fine last frame steal where he needed two snookers on the colours.
The aforementioned Grand Prix qualifiers were a bit of a nightmare, although it swung to and fro all week long, I ended up a fair bit on the wrong side, thanks mainly to an incredible sequence of deciding frame losses for my men.
In fact out of 10 matches I had gotten involved with that went down to a deciding frame, nine of them went the wrong way which does tell you its not going to be your week, but you have to take it on the chin and hopefully luck will even itself out over the year.
Can't see I did too much wrong in theory and probably just a quirk of nature but suppose with the limits on takeouts at Sporting Bet during the week I maybe had a disproportionate amount on some favourites and wasnt allowed enough on the outsiders that won, which would have made a substantial difference to the week.
This is always the problem where stakes are limited, in some ways I suppose you should adjust all stakes accordingly rather than let some of them stand at your normal levels and be forced to have minimal amounts on others.
In the Skybet "to qualify" market I was also blighted by 5-4 defeats with four of my five picks losing by that scoreline though admittedly some at a rather earlier stage than I had anticipated!! The improving Ricky Walden at 6/4 reversed the trend but overall still finished a few quid behind on that market too.
Elsewhere the outright cricket bets are still in the balance, Hampshire are putting up a good show against Notts and lead by ninety odd with just one second innings wicket down. Somerset who would be my best winner (at 10/1) are stuttering too however and are only twenty odd in front with two second innings wickets down at home to Lancashire. My second hope Durham (9/2) are in the best position of the three at the moment, sixty odd ahead of Kent with four first innings wickets still in hand. But everything to play for yet going into day three.
I'm currently looking at the NHL ice hockey markets and might be playing on those over the winter along with the snooker and horse racing, though the latter does take up alot of your time so not sure how viable it is to run too many sports alongside it.
As I said at the weekend, the gaelic football has been a big success over the summer and that will also be starting again early in the new year with the GAA League programme which builds up to the All Ireland Championship.
Also the aussie rules and cricket finish this weekend - I'm not sure theres too much money to be made from the cricket unless you follow it religiously or go in-play, I'm only a casual fan really and the way its generally priced up pre-match shows its a very open sport with even the hottest favourites rarely much shorter than around 8/13, though that means its hard to get massive prices about the underdogs either of course.
I think the way forward with alot of these sports is a very selective approach when there looks to be something outstanding, but its certainly well advised to narrow your portfolio down to two or three you can really specialise in.
Not too much stirs my blood more than a great horse race I have to admit and I dont have quite the same passion about winning a bet in most other sports as I do on the nags (though the last antepost greyhound win was pretty enjoyable!) so as I say that will be to the forefront this winter on the allweather especially and will build around it from there.
Anyway, off to bed now, hopefully dreaming about one of my fancies actually winning a final frame decider for a change, lol!!
All the best,
Rick

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